
==== Front
bioRxiv
BIORXIV
bioRxiv
2692-8205
Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory

10.1101/2024.09.03.610913
preprint
1
Article
Gene Age Gap Estimate (GAGE) for major depressive disorder: a penalized biological age model using gene expression
Li Yijie (Jamie)
Kuplicki Rayus
Ford Bart N.
Kresock Elizabeth
Figueroa-Hall Leandre
Savitz Jonathan
McKinney Brett A. http://orcid.org/0000-0002-9494-8833

04 9 2024
2024.09.03.610913https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/ This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License, which allows reusers to copy and distribute the material in any medium or format in unadapted form only, for noncommercial purposes only, and only so long as attribution is given to the creator.
http://biorxiv.org/lookup/doi/10.1101/2024.09.03.610913
nihpp-2024.09.03.610913.pdf
Abstract

Recent associations between Major Depressive Disorder (MDD) and measures of premature aging suggest accelerated biological aging as a potential biomarker for MDD susceptibility or MDD as a risk factor for age-related diseases. Statistical and machine learning regression models of biological age have been trained on various sources of high dimensional data to predict chronological age. Residuals or “gaps” between the predicted biological age and chronological age have been used for statistical inference, such as testing whether an increased age gap is associated with a given disease state. Recently, a gene expression-based model of biological age showed a higher age gap for individuals with MDD compared to healthy controls (HC). In the current study, we propose a machine learning approach that simplifies gene selection by using a least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) penalty to construct an expression-based Gene Age Gap Estimate (GAGE) model. We construct the LASSO-GAGE (L-GAGE) model in an RNA-Seq study of 78 unmedicated individuals with MDD and 79 HC and then test for accelerated biological aging in MDD. When testing L-GAGE association with MDD, we account for factors such as sex and chronological age to mitigate regression to the mean effects. The L-GAGE shows higher biological aging in MDD subjects than HC, but the elevation is not statistically significant. However, when we dichotomize chronological age, the interaction between MDD status and age is significant in L-GAGE model. This effect remains statistically significant even after adjusting for chronological age and sex. We find cytomegalovirus (CMV) serostatus is associated with elevated L-GAGE. We also investigate feature selection methods Random Forest and nearest neighbor projected distance regression (NPDR) to characterize age related genes, and we find functional enrichment of infectious disease and SARS-COV pathways.
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